Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
1 - 2
Modena

Vandeputte (19')
Scognamillo (86'), Brighenti (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manconi (27'), Bozhanaj (90+5')
Manconi (4'), Ponsi (15'), Palumbo (59'), Bozhanaj (79')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 1-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-1 Ternana
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Modena had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
CatanzaroDrawModena
52.33% (0.011000000000003 0.01)24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.66% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)47.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.22% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (0.013000000000005 0.01)49.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 52.33%
    Modena 23.66%
    Draw 24%
CatanzaroDrawModena
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 52.33%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.66%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 7.30pm
Preliminary Round
Modena
3-1
Catanzaro
Silvestri (2'), Diaw (45+1'), Magnino (74')
Ciofani (27'), Azzi (47')
Tentardini (59')
Gatti (80')