Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.