Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 0
Catanzaro

Verdi (6' pen.)
Curto (24'), Ioannou (83'), Chajia (90+4'), Baselli (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Como
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 3-0 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, October 21 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.

Result
ComoDrawCatanzaro
38.43% (-0.316 -0.32)26.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)35.37% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.139 -0.14)51.13% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.121 -0.12)72.98% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)26% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.323 -0.32)61.03% (0.327 0.33)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.10300000000001 0.1)27.77% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (0.131 0.13)63.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Como 38.43%
    Catanzaro 35.37%
    Draw 26.21%
ComoDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.43%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.37%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Preliminary Round
Como
2-2
Catanzaro
 Catanzaro win 4-3 on penalties
Chajia (32', 56')
Solini (38')
Iovine (90+4')
Carlini (51'), Verna (88')
Carlini (81'), Scognamillo (120+3')