Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.