Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
| 27.83% ( | 27.02% ( | 45.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% ( | 56.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.41% ( | 77.59% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( | 35.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.41% ( | 72.59% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% ( | 24.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.36% ( | 59.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0-4 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.15% |