/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
-
Tijjani Reijnders
3'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
34'
-
Jan-Carlo Simic
41'
-
Noah Okafor
76'
-
Andrea Carboni
55'
-
Roberto Gagliardini
90'+2'
AC Milan vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F50%2Fchristian-pulisic.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
55.06%
▲
(+2.18)
Draw
22.59%
▼
(-0.96)
Monza
22.34%
▼
(-1.23)
Both Teams to Score:
56.51%
▲
(+1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.97%
▲
(+2.88)
Under 2.5
43.03%
▼
(-2.88)
Over 3.5
34.57%
▲
(+2.79)
Under 3.5
65.43%
▼
(-2.79)
Over 4.5
17.94%
▲
(+2.03)
Under 4.5
82.05%
▼
(-2.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
84.47%
▲
(+1.81)
Under 0.5
15.52%
▼
(-1.81)
Over 1.5
55.56%
▲
(+3.26)
Under 1.5
44.44%
▼
(-3.26)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
66.9%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
33.1%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 1.5
30.3%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 1.5
69.7%
▼
(-0.55)
Score analysis
AC Milan
55.06%
Draw
22.59%
Monza
22.34%
AC Milan
2-1
@
9.86%
▲
(+0.11)
1-0 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.63)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.43)
3-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.36)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.29)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.22)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-86.54)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 55.06%
1-0 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.63)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.43)
3-0 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.36)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.29)
4-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.22)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-86.54)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 55.06%
Draw
1-1
@
10.58%
▼
(-0.54)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.69)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.59%
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.69)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.59%
Monza
1-2
@
5.85%
▼
(-0.23)
0-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.67)
0-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.67)
0-2 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.34%