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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Hellas Verona logo

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Hellas Verona

Martinez (13'), Frattesi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Henry (74')
Coppola (77'), Suslov (78')
Lazovic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 7.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 3-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawHellas Verona
76.58% (0.129 0.13)15.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)7.66% (-0.1439 -0.14)
Both teams to score 40.22% (-0.729 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.587 -0.59)44.1% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51% (-0.574 -0.57)66.48% (0.57299999999999 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.29% (-0.116 -0.12)9.71% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.64% (-0.271 -0.27)32.36% (0.27 0.27)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.54% (-0.75 -0.75)55.45% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.85% (-0.447 -0.45)88.15% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 76.57%
    Hellas Verona 7.66%
    Draw 15.76%
Inter MilanDrawHellas Verona
2-0 @ 14.64% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 11.38% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 76.57%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 2.55% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 15.76%
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 7.66%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona

Inter Milan
86.4%
Draw
8.5%
Hellas Verona
5.1%
59
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Hellas Verona
0-6
Inter Milan
Gaich (31' og.), Calhanoglu (36'), Dzeko (37', 61'), Martinez (55', 90+2')
Jan 14, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
2-0
Hellas Verona
Barella (22'), Dzeko (30')
Dumfries (84'), Brozovic (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Hellas Verona
1-3
Inter Milan
Ilic (15')
Magnani (28'), Tameze (88')
Martinez (47'), Correa (83', 90+4')
Martinez (57'), Brozovic (65')
Apr 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 33
Inter Milan
1-0
Hellas Verona
Darmian (76')

Ceccherini (28'), Magnani (42'), Barak (68')