Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 76.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.55%) and 3-0 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
76.58% ( 0.13) | 15.76% ( 0.01) | 7.66% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 40.22% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% ( -0.59) | 44.1% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.51% ( -0.57) | 66.48% ( 0.57) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.29% ( -0.12) | 9.71% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.64% ( -0.27) | 32.36% ( 0.27) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.54% ( -0.75) | 55.45% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.85% ( -0.45) | 88.15% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 14.64% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 76.57% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.42% Total : 15.76% | 0-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.37% Total : 7.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |