Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Lecce |
71.62% ( 0.2) | 18.91% ( -0.11) | 9.47% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 38.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.4% ( 0.19) | 51.59% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.61% ( 0.17) | 73.38% ( -0.17) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.87% ( 0.12) | 13.13% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.22% ( 0.23) | 39.78% ( -0.24) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.97% ( -0.07) | 56.03% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.51% ( -0.04) | 88.49% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 15.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 14.93% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 71.61% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.91% | 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 9.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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