Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lecce
71.62% ( 0.2)	18.91% ( -0.11)	9.47% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 38.2% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

0.19)

51.59% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

0.17)

73.38% (

-0.17)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.87% (

0.12)

13.13% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.22% (

0.23)

39.78% (

-0.24)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.97% (

-0.07)

56.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.51% (

-0.04)

88.49% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 71.61%

Lecce 9.47%

Draw 18.91%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 15.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 14.93% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 71.61%	1-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.91%	0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 9.47%