Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 1
Lecce

Rafia (71' og.)
Maleh (37'), Grassi (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banda (64')
Gonzalez (4'), D'Aversa (68'), Ramadani (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Saturday, December 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Lecce
33.79% ( 0.11)	27.66% ( 0)	38.55% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 48.63% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.87% (

57.13% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22% (

78% (

-0)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.27% (

0.07)

31.73% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

0.09)

68.15% (

-0.09)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.06)

28.77% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.08)

64.61% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Empoli 33.78%

Lecce 38.55%

Draw 27.66%

Empoli	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.78%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.55%