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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Monza

Napoli
0 - 0
Monza


Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
FT

Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Fiorentina
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawMonza
60.68% (0.581 0.58)20.22% (-0.161 -0.16)19.1% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.5% (0.1 0.1)36.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.36% (0.111 0.11)58.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.18899999999999 0.19)11.68% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.406 0.41)36.76% (-0.406 -0.41)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)32.44% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.405 -0.41)68.96% (0.404 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.68%
    Monza 19.1%
    Draw 20.22%
NapoliDrawMonza
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.046 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: Napoli vs Monza

Napoli
78.6%
Draw
19.8%
Monza
1.5%
131
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0


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