Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
| 60.68% ( | 20.22% ( | 19.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% ( | 36.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( | 58.64% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( | 11.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.23% ( | 36.76% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( | 32.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 5-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.1% |