Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 1
Cagliari

Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Cagliari
60.15% ( 0.06)	21.24% ( -0.01)	18.6% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.08% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.92% (

-0.05)

42.07% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.52% (

-0.04)

64.47% (

0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

13.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.31% (

0.01)

40.69% (

-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73% (

-0.08)

36.26% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.95% (

-0.08)

73.04% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Napoli 60.15%

Cagliari 18.6%

Draw 21.24%

Napoli	Draw	Cagliari
2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.6%