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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Cagliari

Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari

Napoli are still some way short of last season's scintillating form, but they should have enough gas left in the tank to secure back-to-back wins by beating Cagliari. The Isolani have picked up just two points on the road this term, so even their hosts' dire home record may not help them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawCagliari
60.15% (0.058 0.06) 21.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 18.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.47% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.26% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)73.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.15%
    Cagliari 18.6%
    Draw 21.24%
NapoliDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Napoli vs Cagliari

Napoli
84.8%
Draw
10.9%
Cagliari
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
Feb 16, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli

Pedro (12'), Walukiewicz (30'), Nandez (74')
Mertens (66')
Zielinski (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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