Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match.