Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 0
Braga

Saatci (9' og.), Osimhen (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Banza (19'), Mendes (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Braga
42.12% ( 0.27)	22.53% ( 0.02)	35.35% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 66.84% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.23% (

-0.14)

33.77% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.4% (

-0.16)

55.6% (

0.15)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.25% (

0.05)

16.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.33% (

0.09)

46.67% (

-0.09)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.2)

19.72% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

-0.33)

51.73% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Napoli 42.12%

Braga 35.35%

Draw 22.53%

Napoli	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.12%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.35%