Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
| 25.35% ( | 23.36% ( | 51.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.62% ( | 43.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( | 65.78% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( | 30.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( | 67% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( | 16.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.92% ( | 47.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 3-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0-4 @ 2.15% ( 2-4 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 4.02% Total : 51.29% |