Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Da Tapadinha
Vizela

Atletico CP
0 - 1
Vizela


Balotelli (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (77')
Essende (32'), Samu (90+2')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Atletico Clube de Portugal and Vizela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Clube de Portugal

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Atletico CP 0-2 Charlton
Saturday, July 19 at 6pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Vizela

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Vizela
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atletico Clube de Portugal had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Atletico Clube de Portugal win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
Atletico Clube de PortugalDrawVizela
16.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.54% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)63.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.29% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.121 0.12)43.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.12 0.12)65.65% (-0.122 -0.12)
Atletico Clube de Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)39.89% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (0.056000000000001 0.06)76.55% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.99% (0.046999999999997 0.05)13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.46% (0.097999999999999 0.1)39.53% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Clube de Portugal 16.11%
    Vizela 63.34%
    Draw 20.54%
Atletico Clube de PortugalDrawVizela
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.47%
2-0 @ 2.19% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.11%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.54%
0-2 @ 10.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6.75% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.74% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 63.34%