Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 0
Napoli

Pellegrini (76'), Lukaku (90+6')
Paredes (28'), Kristensen (32'), Mourinho (32'), Cristante (38'), Belotti (60'), Zalewski (66'), El Shaarawy (81'), Azmoun (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (28'), Mazzarri (31'), Jesus (62'), Osimhen (73')
Politano (66'), Osimhen (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Roma
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Napoli
42.03% ( -0.83)	25.41% ( 0.18)	32.56% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 55.49% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.78% (

-0.58)

48.23% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

-0.53)

70.38% (

0.54)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

-0.64)

22.83% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45% (

-0.96)

56.56% (

0.97)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

0.14)

28.09% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

0.17)

63.76% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Roma 42.03%

Napoli 32.56%

Draw 25.4%

Roma	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.03%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.56%