/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Leandro Paredes
28'
-
Rasmus Kristensen
32'
-
Jose Mourinho
32'
-
Bryan Cristante
38'
-
Andrea Belotti
60'
-
Nicola Zalewski
66'
-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
76'
-
Stephan El Shaarawy
81'
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Sardar Azmoun
90'+5'
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Romelu Lukaku
90'+6'
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Mario Rui
28'
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Walter Mazzarri
31'
-
Juan Jesus
62'
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Matteo Politano
66'
-
Victor Osimhen
73'
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Victor Osimhen
86'
Roma vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
42.03%
▼
(-0.83)
Draw
25.41%
▲
(+0.19)
Napoli
32.56%
▲
(+0.66)
Both Teams to Score:
55.49%
▼
(-0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.78%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 2.5
48.23%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 3.5
29.62%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 3.5
70.38%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 4.5
14.41%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 4.5
85.59%
▲
(+0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
77.17%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
22.83%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
43.45%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 1.5
56.56%
▲
(+0.97)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
71.91%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
28.09%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
36.24%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
63.76%
▼
(-0.17)
Score analysis
Roma
42.03%
Draw
25.4%
Napoli
32.56%
Roma
1-0
@
9.47%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.03%
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.03%
Draw
1-1
@
12.02%
▲
(+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-0 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
Napoli
0-1
@
8.14%
▲
(+0.23)
1-2 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.56%
1-2 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.56%