Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.