Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 2
Bologna

Simy (75')
Coulibaly (26'), Tchaouna (36'), Mazzocchi (39'), Dia (42'), Daniliuc (48'), Gyomber (54'), Kastanos (89')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Bologna
32.88% ( -0.02)	25.59% ( 0.01)	41.53% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.08% (

-0.04)

48.92% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.99% (

-0.04)

71.01% (

0.04)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.03)

28.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

-0.05)

63.93% (

0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

-0.01)

23.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

-0.02)

57.36% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 32.88%

Bologna 41.53%

Draw 25.59%

Salernitana	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.88%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.53%