Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
32.88% ( -0.02) | 25.59% ( 0.01) | 41.53% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% ( -0.04) | 48.92% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% ( -0.04) | 71.01% ( 0.04) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.03) | 28.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( -0.05) | 63.93% ( 0.05) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.01) | 23.38% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.02) | 57.36% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.88% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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