Having picked up an unexpected point and extended their unbeaten run to three games last weekend, Salernitana welcome Bologna to Stadio Arechi on Saturday.
While the hosts managed to hold mighty Milan, their visitors finally posted a first Serie A success of the year on Monday, and will now seek to replicate their win in the reverse fixture back on the opening day.
Match preview
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Though still adrift at the bottom of the table, Salernitana's improved form has engendered hope of a great escape in the southern city of Salerno, as the club's recent turnover of players and management starts to pay off.
New head coach Davide Nicola - a specialist at saving sides bound for Serie B, having kept up both Genoa and boyhood club Torino in recent times - was installed before the visit of league leaders Milan last weekend, but would hardly have expected to stop the Rossoneri leaving with all three points.
Nevertheless, though their visitors took the lead inside five minutes, the Granata then turned the game on its head to lead through goals from front pair Federico Bonazzoli and Milan Djuric heading into the final 15 minutes. Though Ante Rebic then levelled the match from long range, Salernitana picked up a third successive point and have not lost since January.
That represents some achievement for a side which had been beaten in 17 of their 26 top-flight outings since promotion, and have still won just once at Stadio Arechi this season.
Even so, the Campanian club's first Serie A season in 23 years has taken a turn for the better since a tumultuous off-field spell around the turn of the year, and they have picked up six points from their six fixtures in 2022.
They have also beaten Bologna on both of their next opponents' previous top-flight visits and will be increasingly confident of upholding that record this weekend.
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Having failed to score in Serie A since November's reverse fixture, Bologna striker Marko Arnautovic broke his long scoring drought with a double strike in Monday's 2-1 win against Spezia - including the late winner with a powerful downward header.
Since December, Sinisa Mihajlovic's side had lost the most matches of any Serie A side; having won only once in nine league fixtures after a 3-0 loss to Lazio the previous weekend.
Indeed, the Rossoblu had found the net just twice in their previous five outings, so Arnautovic's return to form will be a great relief for the Emilian outfit, who currently sit 12th in the standings - nine points above the drop zone, but adrift of the European places to which they ambitiously aspired in the autumn.
While goals have been scarce of late, it has been Bologna's defensive deficiencies which have undermined a positive start to the campaign, and having conceded 41 league goals, Mihajlovic will want his team to tighten up if they are to return to the top half of the table.
Several months ago, the win that started off their season on a high note came at Salernitana's expense, as Arnautovic netted the second equaliser in a dramatic 3-2 victory at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, and they will inevitably be keen to do the double over the southerners on Saturday.
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Team News
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Fortunate to have his first two games in charge taking place on home soil, Davide Nicola could keep a relatively unchanged team for his second match as Salernitana head coach.
However, January signing Ivan Radovanovic was forced off with an injury against Milan; undergoing treatment and individual training alongside forward trio Franck Ribery, Diego Perotti and Simone Verdi during the week. Meanwhile, Mamadou Coulibaly, Stefan Strandberg and Andrea Schiavone are among the hosts' longer-term absentees.
Up front, Milan Djuric should continue, with Perotti, Federico Bonazzoli and Lys Mousset available to make an impact from the bench.
Following the successful switch to a 3-4-3 setup against Spezia - in a match where they dominated both possession and shots on goal stats - Bologna are expected to retain that formation on Saturday.
The visitors' personnel could change, though, as midfield mainstay Mattias Svanberg and veteran defender Gary Medel are both back from suspension, which should see Luis Binks drop out of the side.
Recent acquisition Michel Aebischer should now be fit to start, but is more likely to begin on the bench once again, while in an attacking triumvirate, Riccardo Orsolini, Musa Barrow and top scorer Marko Arnautovic will join forces.
Salernitana possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Mazzocchi, Fazio, Dragusin, Ranieri; L. Coulibaly, Ederson; Verdi, Kastanos, Ribery; Djuric
Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Soumaoro, Medel, Theate; De Silvestri, Schouten, Soriano, Hickey; Orsolini, Arnautovic, Barrow
We say: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Following a mid-season overhaul, Salernitana are certainly a tougher proposition to encounter, but Bologna can grind out another close-fought victory to find their way back towards the top 10.
If their front three can continue to combine as they did versus Spezia, the Rossoblu are sure to have enough firepower to break through more than once in Salerno.
Top tip
Jonathan O'Shea
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
