Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.