Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Torino

Fabbian (56'), Zirkzee (90+1')
Kristansen (23'), Fabbian (31'), Ndoye (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vlasic (18', 18')
Linetty (39'), Lazaro (62'), Bellanova (69'), Pellegri (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Torino
43.32% ( 0.3)	28.86% ( 0.14)	27.81% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 43.17% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.08% (

-0.63)

62.91% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.59% (

-0.46)

82.4% (

0.46)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.14)

28.88% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

-0.18)

64.75% (

0.18)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7% (

-0.71)

39.3% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24% (

-0.67)

76% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Bologna 43.32%

Torino 27.81%

Draw 28.85%

Bologna	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.32%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.81%