/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fromlog.png)
-
Mattia Zaccagni
51'
-
Valentin Castellanos
60'
-
Matteo Guendouzi
65'
-
Luca Pellegrini
90'+3'
-
Pedro
90'+5'
-
Pedro
90'+6'
-
Bryan Cristante
57'
-
Gianluca Mancini
65'
-
Sardar Azmoun
90'+10'
-
Gianluca Mancini
90'+11'
Lazio vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.04%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.
Result
Lazio
42.04%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
29.02%
▲
(+0.05)
Roma
28.93%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
43.32%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.99%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
63.01%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
17.53%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
82.47%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
6.95%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
93.04%
▲
(+0.08)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
70.36%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
29.64%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
34.32%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
65.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
61.57%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
38.43%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
24.82%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
75.18%
▲
(+0.24)
Score analysis
Lazio
42.04%
Draw
29.01%
Roma
28.93%
Lazio
1-0
@
13.85%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.04%
2-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.04%
Draw
1-1
@
13.24%
0-0 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.01%
0-0 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.01%
Roma
0-1
@
10.89%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.93%
1-2 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 28.93%