Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 0Roma
Zaccagni (51' pen.)
Castellanos (60'), Guendouzi (65'), Pellegrini (90+3'), Pedro (90+5')
Pedro (90+6')
Castellanos (60'), Guendouzi (65'), Pellegrini (90+3'), Pedro (90+5')
Pedro (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Lazio
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Lazio 1-1 Roma (Lazio to win on penalties)
In a game that could well be relatively cagey and go the distance, Lazio's recent form and results against Roma could give them the edge. However, form often goes out the window in huge derbies like this, and Mourinho will be looking for a big performance to overturn their recent poor run, but they will be the slight underdogs. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.04%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
42.04% ( 0.12) | 29.02% ( 0.04) | 28.93% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 43.32% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.99% ( -0.2) | 63.01% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.53% ( -0.14) | 82.47% ( 0.14) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% ( -0.03) | 29.64% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( -0.03) | 65.68% ( 0.03) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.57% ( -0.25) | 38.43% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.82% ( -0.24) | 75.18% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio 42.04%
Roma 28.93%
Draw 29.01%
Lazio | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 13.85% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 42.04% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 28.93% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Roma
Lazio
36.3%Draw
28.6%Roma
35.2%91
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-30 16:19:04
10am
Putintseva
Rybakina
Rybakina
11.30am
Swiatek
Haddad Maia
Haddad Maia
7pm
Keys
Jabeur
Jabeur
10am
Medvedev
Bublik
Bublik
10am
Rublev
Griekspoor
Griekspoor
11.30am
Hurkacz
Fritz
Fritz
1pm
Cerundolo
Zverev
Zverev
2.30pm
Sinner
Khachanov
Khachanov
3pm
Struff
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
4pm
Auger-Aliassime
Ruud
Ruud
8.30pm
Nadal
Lehecka
Lehecka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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