Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.