Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Roma |
41.67% ( -0.45) | 28.75% ( -0.22) | 29.57% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 44.31% ( 0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.07% ( 0.92) | 61.92% ( -0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.31% ( 0.67) | 81.68% ( -0.67) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% ( 0.2) | 29.31% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% ( 0.24) | 65.28% ( -0.24) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.68% ( 1.04) | 37.32% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% ( 1.01) | 74.1% ( -1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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