Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 0
Lazio

Griezmann (6'), Lino (51')
Gimenez (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro (8'), Marusic (47'), Guendouzi (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Lazio
55.41% ( -0.54)	23.04% ( 0.6)	21.55% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-2.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

-2.75)

45.94% (

2.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

-2.66)

68.25% (

2.65)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.57% (

-1.15)

16.43% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89% (

-2.11)

46.1% (

2.11)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-1.61)

35.47% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.76% (

-1.71)

72.23% (

1.7)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.4%

Lazio 21.55%

Draw 23.03%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.4%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.55%