La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
1 - 0
Atletico

Felix (28')
Felix (50'), Torres (78'), Araujo (79'), Xavi (82'), Cancelo (87'), de Jong (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimenez (31'), Witsel (34'), Koke (38'), Azpilicueta (47')

Reaction

Barcelona's Joao Felix celebrates scoring against Atletico Madrid on December 3, 2023

Joao Felix sends transfer message to Barcelona after goal against Atletico Madrid

Joao Felix expresses a desire to join Barcelona permanently after scoring his loan side's winner against his parent club Atletico Madrid on Sunday night.

Dec 4, 12:39

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-3 Atletico
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
53.89% ( 2.33)	23.12% ( -0.34)	22.98% ( -1.99)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

-0.5)

44.65% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

-0.49)

67.02% (

0.49)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.5% (

0.66)

16.5% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.77% (

1.17)

46.23% (

-1.17)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

-1.97)

33.42% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

-2.22)

70.05% (

2.22)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 53.89%

Atletico Madrid 22.98%

Draw 23.12%

Barcelona	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.89%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12%	0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.98%