La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
2 - 1
Alaves

Lewandowski (53', 78' pen.)
Lewandowski (62'), Gundogan (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Omorodion (1')
Duarte (73')

Reaction

Barcelona coach Xavi reacts on November 4, 2023

Xavi hits out at sections of media over recent Barcelona criticism

Barcelona head coach Xavi slams the "negativity around the team" at the moment from sections of the media.

Nov 13, 12:05

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
68.54% ( -0.41)	19.14% ( 0.23)	12.31% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 46.89% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

-0.58)

45.22% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.43% (

-0.56)

67.57% (

0.56)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

-0.28)

12.12% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.3% (

-0.6)

37.7% (

0.6)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.36% (

-0.07)

46.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.79% (

-0.05)

82.21% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 68.53%

Alaves 12.31%

Draw 19.14%

Barcelona	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 68.53%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.14%	0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.31%