Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de La Condomina
Alaves logo

Deportivo Murcia
0 - 10
Alaves

FT(HT: 0-3)
Rebbach (7', 38'), Duarte (13'), Alkain (52', 60'), Hagi (63', 80'), Karrika (68', 75', 89')
Blanco (24'), Marin (30'), Tenaglia (57')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Deportivo Murcia and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Murcia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 96.18%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Deportivo Murcia had a probability of 0.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (15.87%) and 0-2 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.65%), while for a Deportivo Murcia win it was 1-0 (0.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-10 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Deportivo MurciaDrawAlaves
0.54% (0.007 0.01)3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)96.18% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 18.27% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.67% (0.289 0.29)22.33% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.65% (0.393 0.39)41.35% (-0.386 -0.39)
Deportivo Murcia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
18.64% (0.359 0.36)81.36% (-0.35199999999999 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
1.85% (0.072 0.07)98.14% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.97% (0.037999999999997 0.04)2.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
90.06% (0.13199999999999 0.13)9.94% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Murcia 0.54%
    Alaves 96.18%
    Draw 3.27%
Deportivo MurciaDrawAlaves
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 0.54%
0-0 @ 1.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-1 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 3.27%
0-3 @ 16.29% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-4 @ 15.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 12.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-5 @ 12.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-6 @ 8.04% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-7 @ 4.47% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 2.59% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.55% (0.055 0.05)
0-8 @ 2.18% (0.027 0.03)
1-6 @ 1.66% (0.042 0.04)
0-9 @ 0.94% (0.016 0.02)
1-7 @ 0.92% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 96.18%

How you voted: Deportivo Murcia vs Alaves

Deportivo Murcia
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
Alaves
69.2%
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