Champions League
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Joao Cancelo 32' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 37' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 57' goal
  • Joao Felix 59' yellowcard
  • goal Pepe 30'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 36'
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 57'
  • yellowcard Pepe 74'

Barcelona vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 5.45pm
Shakhtar 1 - 0 Barcelona

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 0 Antwerp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Barcelona 41.58% (+0.03)
Draw 25.9% (+0.02)
Porto 32.52% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.84% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.65% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 50.35% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 27.71% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 72.29% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.11% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.88% (+0.06)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 76.01% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.99% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.77% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.23% (+0.05)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 70.83% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 29.17% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.89% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.1% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Barcelona 41.58%
Draw 25.89%
Porto 32.52%
Barcelona
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
Porto
0-1 @ 8.62% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 32.52%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 13'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 28'
  • yellowcard Xavi 30'
  • yellowcard Gavi 36'
  • goal Ferran Torres 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 47'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 50'
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 86'
  • redcard Gavi 90'+3'

Build-up

News