Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Porto

Silva (17')
Silva (27'), Silva (72'), Silva (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sanusi (39'), Conceicao (59')
Conceicao (26'), Galeno (85'), Sanchez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
22.78% ( -0.05)	25.22% ( 0.01)	51.99% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.48% (

-0.09)

53.51% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.97% (

-0.08)

75.03% (

0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

-0.1)

38.54% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.71% (

-0.1)

75.29% (

0.09)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.03)

20.58% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87% (

-0.03)

53.12% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.78%

Porto 51.99%

Draw 25.22%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.78%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 51.99%