Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Bosuilstadion
  • Alhassan Yusuf 37' goal
  • Arbnor Muja 72' yellowcard
  • Toby Alderweireld 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 14'
  • goal Evanilson 46'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 45'+2'
  • goal Stephen Eustaquio 54'
  • yellowcard Pepe 61'
  • goal Evanilson 69'
  • goal Evanilson 84'

Royal Antwerp vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Royal Antwerp

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 5.45pm
Antwerp 2 - 3 Shakhtar

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 1 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Royal Antwerp 34.34% (-0.05)
Draw 26.36% (+0.11)
Porto 39.29% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.8% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.1% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 51.89% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 26.35% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 73.64% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 12.22% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 87.77% (+0.24)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5 71.23% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 28.76% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 35.39% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 64.6% (+0.30)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 74.12% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 25.88% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 39.14% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 60.86% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Royal Antwerp 34.34%
Draw 26.35%
Porto 39.29%
Royal Antwerp
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.78% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.35%
Porto
0-1 @ 10.06% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.8% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.29%