Taca de Portugal
Oct 20, 2023 8.45pm
0
2
HT :
0
1
FT
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
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-
Andre Mendy
12'
-
Andre Franco
36'
-
Evanilson
65'
-
Marko Grujic
90'+4'
Vilar de Perdizes vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Vilar de Perdizes
Porto
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.56%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Vilar de Perdizes had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.47%) and 0-4 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Vilar de Perdizes win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Vilar de Perdizes
3.55%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
8.89%
▼
(-0.10)
Porto
87.56%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
39.58%
▼
(-0.90)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.17%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
28.83%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
50.23%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 3.5
49.77%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 4.5
30.95%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 4.5
69.05%
▲
(+0.41)
Vilar de Perdizes Goals
Over 0.5
41.36%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 0.5
58.64%
▲
(+0.93)
Over 1.5
10.06%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 1.5
89.94%
▲
(+0.50)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
95.71%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
4.29%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
82.21%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
17.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Vilar de Perdizes
3.55%
Draw
8.89%
Porto
87.56%
Vilar de Perdizes
1-0
@
1.34%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 3.55%
2-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 3.55%
Draw
1-1
@
4.23%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 8.89%
0-0 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 8.89%
Porto
0-3
@
13.09%
▲
(+0.21)
0-2 @ 12.47% ▲ (+0.23)
0-4 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.16)
0-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
0-6 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.09)
1-6 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.04)
0-7 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 87.56%
0-2 @ 12.47% ▲ (+0.23)
0-4 @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.16)
0-1 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.08)
0-5 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.09)
1-5 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.06)
0-6 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.09)
1-6 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.04)
0-7 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 87.56%