Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 20, 2023 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Vilar de Perdizes
0 - 2
Porto

Mendy (12')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Franco (36'), Evanilson (65')
Grujic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Taca de Portugal clash between Vilar de Perdizes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.56%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Vilar de Perdizes had a probability of 3.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.47%) and 0-4 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Vilar de Perdizes win it was 1-0 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Vilar de Perdizes	Draw	Porto
3.55% ( -0.12)	8.89% ( -0.09)	87.56% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 39.58% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.17% (

-0.36)

28.83% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.23% (

-0.44)

49.77% (

0.44)

Vilar de Perdizes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.36% (

-0.92)

58.64% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.06% (

-0.5)

89.94% (

0.5)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.71% (

-0.02)

4.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.21% (

-0.07)

17.79% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Vilar de Perdizes 3.55%

Porto 87.56%

Draw 8.89%

Vilar de Perdizes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.08% Total : 3.55%	1-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 8.89%	0-3 @ 13.09% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 12.47% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 10.3% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 6.49% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.08) 1-6 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-7 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.66% Total : 87.56%