Taca de Portugal
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Eduardo Souza
40'
-
Vasco Teixeira
49'
-
Eduardo Souza
73'
-
Davi
75'
-
Seydou Ballo
86'
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Tomas Ribeiro
13'
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Tomas Handel
19'
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Jota Silva
25'
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Tiago Silva
45'+1'
Moncarapachense vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Moncarapachense
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moncarapachense had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Moncarapachense win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result
Moncarapachense
17.42%
▲
(+0.93)
Draw
21.42%
▲
(+0.55)
Vitoria de Guimaraes
61.16%
▼
(-1.47)
Both Teams to Score:
52.15%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.17%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 2.5
44.83%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 3.5
32.81%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 3.5
67.18%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 4.5
16.66%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 4.5
83.34%
▲
(+0.55)
Moncarapachense Goals
Over 0.5
60.76%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 0.5
39.24%
▼
(-0.67)
Over 1.5
24.05%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 1.5
75.95%
▼
(-0.62)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5
85.83%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 0.5
14.16%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 1.5
58.15%
▼
(-1.37)
Under 1.5
41.84%
▲
(+1.37)
Score analysis
Moncarapachense
17.42%
Draw
21.42%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
61.15%
Moncarapachense
1-0
@
5.2%
▲
(+0.26)
2-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17.42%
2-1 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 17.42%
Draw
1-1
@
10.16%
▲
(+0.26)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.42%
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.42%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1
@
10.86%
▲
(+0.09)
0-2 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.17)
0-4 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.24)
1-4 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.13)
1-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 61.15%
0-2 @ 10.61% ▼ (-0.18)
1-2 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.17)
0-4 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.24)
1-4 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.13)
1-5 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 61.15%