Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
0 - 1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
72.98% ( 0.06)	16.35% ( -0.02)	10.67% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.26% (

36.73% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.1% (

58.9% (

-0)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.27% (

0.01)

8.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70% (

0.03)

30% (

-0.03)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.03% (

-0.06)

43.97% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

-0.05)

80.1% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Porto 72.98%

Estoril Praia 10.67%

Draw 16.35%

Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.62% 4-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 72.98%	1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 16.35%	1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.67%