Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.