Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Luis (76')
Alan (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Moreirense
Friday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
36.81% ( -0.06)	26.28% ( 0.01)	36.91% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

-0.06)

51.38% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

-0.05)

73.2% (

0.05)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

-0.07)

27.03% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

-0.09)

62.4% (

0.08)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

-0)

26.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69%

62.31% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 36.81%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.91%

Draw 26.27%

Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.81%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.91%