Taca de Portugal | Third Round

Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK

Cidade Desportiva De Paredes

Paredes
2 - 1
Moreirense

Moreira (44'), Lucky (81')
Rosa (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alan (58')
Ponck (1')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Paredes and Moreirense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paredes

Last Game: Leca 1-1 Paredes (6-5 pen.)
Wednesday, December 22 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Boavista
Friday, October 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Paredes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.19%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Paredes win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Paredes	Draw	Moreirense
12.97% ( -0.1)	20.74% ( -0.12)	66.29% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

0.27)

50.38% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

0.24)

72.32% (

-0.23)

Paredes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.22% (

48.78% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.2% (

83.79% (

-0)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.64% (

0.15)

14.36% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.77% (

0.3)

42.23% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Paredes 12.97%

Moreirense 66.29%

Draw 20.74%

Paredes	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.97%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.74%	0-1 @ 13.59% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.53% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 66.29%