Champions League
Nov 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Evanilson 32' goal
  • David Carmo 58' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 84' yellowcard
  • Pepe 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Alhassan Yusuf 20'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 45'+2'
  • redcard Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 52'
  • yellowcard Owen Wijndal 62'

Porto vs Royal Antwerp - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
Antwerp 1 - 4 Porto

Royal Antwerp

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
Antwerp 1 - 4 Porto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Porto 59.47% (-0.02)
Draw 21.98% (+0.01)
Royal Antwerp 18.55% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.22% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.78% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 16.23% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.77% (+0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 85.1% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.9% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 56.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 43.27% (+0.04)

Royal Antwerp Goals

Over 0.5 61.69% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 38.3% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 24.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.06% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Porto 59.46%
Draw 21.97%
Royal Antwerp 18.55%
Porto
1-0 @ 10.86% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 59.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.97%
Royal Antwerp
0-1 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 18.55%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Bosuilstadion
  • Alhassan Yusuf 37' goal
  • Arbnor Muja 72' yellowcard
  • Toby Alderweireld 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 14'
  • goal Evanilson 46'
  • yellowcard David Carmo 45'+2'
  • goal Stephen Eustaquio 54'
  • yellowcard Pepe 61'
  • goal Evanilson 69'
  • goal Evanilson 84'