Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.