Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Atalanta

Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, January 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
49.25% ( 0.34)	25.88% ( 0.07)	24.87% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 49.09% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.56)

54.24% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36% (

-0.47)

75.64% (

0.47)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94% (

-0.09)

22.05% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6% (

-0.13)

55.39% (

0.13)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

-0.67)

37.02% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19% (

-0.67)

73.8% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Roma 49.24%

Atalanta BC 24.87%

Draw 25.88%

Roma	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.24%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.87%