Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Lecce |
67.73% ( -0.02) | 19.92% ( 0.01) | 12.35% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.55% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% ( 0.01) | 48.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% ( 0.01) | 70.58% ( -0.01) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.68% ( -0) | 13.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.83% ( -0.01) | 40.17% ( 0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.39% ( 0.03) | 48.61% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.33% ( 0.02) | 83.67% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.05% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 67.73% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.92% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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