Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 0
Lecce

Lookman (58')
Zappacosta (35'), Holm (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramadani (82'), Oudin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 67.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 12.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Lecce
67.73% ( -0.02)	19.92% ( 0.01)	12.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.55% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

0.01)

48.45% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

0.01)

70.58% (

-0.01)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68% (

-0)

13.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.83% (

-0.01)

40.17% (

0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39% (

0.03)

48.61% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.33% (

0.02)

83.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 67.73%

Lecce 12.35%

Draw 19.92%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Lecce
2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.05% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 67.73%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 19.92%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 12.35%