Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
4 - 1
Salernitana

Muriel (47'), Pasalic (52'), De Ketelaere (83'), Miranchuk (89')
Piero Gasperini (41'), Ruggeri (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pirola (10')
Pirola (40'), Maggiore (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Rakow 0-4 Atalanta
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, December 10 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Salernitana
71.86% ( 2.51)	17.45% ( -1.39)	10.69% ( -1.13)

Both teams to score 47.14% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

3.19)

41.97% (

-3.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

3.13)

64.37% (

-3.13)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.66% (

1.54)

10.33% (

-1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.21% (

3.4)

33.79% (

-3.4)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.57% (

0.03)

47.42% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.19% (

0.02)

82.8% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 71.86%

Salernitana 10.69%

Draw 17.45%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.88) 3-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.4) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.3) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.16) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.86%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.65) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.45%	0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 10.69%