Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 23, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 0
Atalanta

Ferguson (86')
Posch (30'), Freuler (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Piero Gasperini (26'), de Roon (69'), Zappacosta (79'), Hateboer (88'), Scamacca (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Bologna
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Salernitana
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
36.9% ( -0.04)	28.41% ( 0.01)	34.69% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.53% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21% (

-0.04)

59.79% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92% (

-0.03)

80.08% (

0.03)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.04)

31.07% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

-0.05)

67.39% (

0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.01)

32.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

-0.01)

69.02% (

Score Analysis

Bologna 36.9%

Atalanta BC 34.69%

Draw 28.4%

Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.9%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.69%