Coppa Italia
Jan 3, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Diego Llorente 34' yellowcard
  • Zeki Celik 40' yellowcard
  • Rick Karsdorp 72' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 77' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 85' goal
  • yellowcard Michele Castagnetti 2'
  • yellowcard Paolo Ghiglione 8'
  • yellowcard Valentin Antov 9'
  • yellowcard Luca Ravanelli 16'
  • goal Frank Tsadjout 37'
  • yellowcard Matteo Bianchetti 78'

Roma vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Cremonese

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result

Roma 53.71% (-1.37)
Draw 23.97% (+0.66)
Cremonese 22.31% (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% (-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.98% (-1.94)
Under 2.5 49.01% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 28.9% (-1.78)
Under 3.5 71.09% (+1.77)
Over 4.5 13.91% (-1.23)
Under 4.5 86.08% (+1.22)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 81.82% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 18.17% (+1.21)
Over 1.5 50.84% (-2.11)
Under 1.5 49.15% (+2.10)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 63.52% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 36.47% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 26.74% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 73.25% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Roma 53.71%
Draw 23.96%
Cremonese 22.31%
Roma
1-0 @ 11.3% (+0.46)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.29)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.23)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (+0.34)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.96%
Cremonese
0-1 @ 6.68% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 5.75% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.37% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.31%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Frank Tsadjout 17' goal
  • Daniel Ciofani 83' goal
  • goal Leonardo Spinazzola 71'
Coppa Italia
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andrea Belotti 90'+4' goal
  • goal Cyriel Dessers 28'
  • goal Zeki Celik 49' (OG)
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Chris Smalling 65' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 24'
  • yellowcard Luca Zanimacchia 50'
  • yellowcard Matteo Bianchetti 79'