Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Cremonese

Palermo
3 - 2
Cremonese

Nedelcearu (20'), Di Francesco (72'), Stulac (90+7')
Corini (7'), Graves (40'), Ceccaroni (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ghiglione (7'), Castagnetti (32')
Majer (6'), Okereke (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Cremonese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Como 3-3 Palermo
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B

Cremonese

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 4-0 Modena
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
PalermoDrawCremonese
40.03% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)26.07% (0.069000000000003 0.07)33.89% (0.61 0.61)
Both teams to score 53.64% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (-0.169 -0.17)50.78% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33% (-0.151 -0.15)72.67% (0.149 0.15)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (-0.432 -0.43)24.97% (0.43 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)59.62% (0.60299999999999 0.6)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.301 0.3)28.5% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.377 0.38)64.27% (-0.38 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 40.03%
    Cremonese 33.89%
    Draw 26.07%
PalermoDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.89%

How you voted: Palermo vs Cremonese

Palermo
30.0%
Draw
35.0%
Cremonese
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Cremonese
2-0
Palermo
Arini (45'), Migliore (70')
Boultam (63')

Chochev (26'), Bellusci (33')
Aug 31, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 2
Palermo
2-2
Cremonese
Trajkovski (26'), Mazzotta (88')
Haas (63'), Bellusci (77'), Mazzotta (89')
Espeto (64'), Mogos (82')
Apr 14, 2018 2pm
Palermo
1-1
Cremonese
Coronado (61')
Aleesami (45'), La Gumina (90')
Scamacca (83')
Garcia (90'), Arini (90')
Nov 12, 2017 2pm
Cremonese
1-2
Palermo
Claiton (21')
Almici (32'), Arini (44'), Renzetti (90')
Rispoli (23'), Chochev (53')