Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
3 - 3
Palermo

Cutrone (46'), Gabrielloni (58'), Verdi (90+2' pen.)
Sala (41'), Cutrone (66'), Curto (67'), Da Cunha (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Francesco (17'), Segre (63'), Graves (82')
Nedelcearu (48'), Marconi (53')
Marconi (90+1')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Como
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 3-2 Pisa
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawPalermo
40.75% (-0.175 -0.18)26.6% (0.055000000000003 0.06)32.65% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.62% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-0.185 -0.18)53.22% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-0.155 -0.15)74.78% (0.152 0.15)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.175 -0.17)25.71% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.238 -0.24)60.62% (0.235 0.23)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)66.73% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Como 40.74%
    Palermo 32.65%
    Draw 26.6%
ComoDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.74%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.65%

Head to Head
May 1, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 35
Como
1-1
Palermo
Cerri (32' pen.)
Buttaro (17')
Dec 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Palermo
0-0
Como