Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Como in this match.