Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.