Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
2 - 1
FeralpiSalo

Da Cunha (3'), Gabrielloni (90+3')
Da Cunha (17'), Baselli (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Compagnon (52')
Parigini (13'), Balestrero (72'), Fiordilino (81')
Letizia (85')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and FeralpiSalo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Como
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 3-3 Bari
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawFeralpiSalo
48.87% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)25.76%25.37% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.91% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.4% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (0.018999999999998 0.02)36.12% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (0.02 0.02)72.9% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Como 48.86%
    FeralpiSalo 25.37%
    Draw 25.75%
ComoDrawFeralpiSalo
1-0 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 25.37%