Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.