Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Bari
1 - 0
Ascoli

Sibilli (80')
Vicari (14'), Ricci (37'), Acampora (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Tacchio (42'), Giovane (50'), Milanese (90+1'), Adjapong (90+7')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-2 Bari
Sunday, October 29 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 1-3 Parma
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 26.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.

Result
BariDrawAscoli
45.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)26.71%
Both teams to score 44.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.34% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.5%80.49%
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42%26.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.79%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2%38.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47%75.52%
Score Analysis
    Bari 45.37%
    Ascoli 26.71%
    Draw 27.9%
BariDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 13.66%
2-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 45.37%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 9.76%
1-2 @ 6.13%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 26.71%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ascoli
0-1
Bari
Cheddira (45+3' pen.)
Oct 15, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Bari
0-2
Ascoli
Simic (78'), Dionisi (90')
Mar 28, 2018 7.30pm
Ascoli
1-0
Bari
Buzzegoli (3')
Addae (27'), Mengoni (31')

Sabelli (44')
Oct 28, 2017 2pm
Bari
3-0
Ascoli
Galano (54'), Mogos (59' og.), Floro Flores (73')
Gyomber (21'), Improta (22'), Petriccione (83')

Parlati (39'), Carpani (49')
Gigliotti (38')