Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.