Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 28.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Pisa
28.51% ( -0.04)	30.49% ( 0.02)	41% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.57% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.5% (

-0.07)

67.5% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.4% (

-0.05)

85.6% (

0.05)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.66% (

-0.07)

41.34% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.14% (

-0.06)

77.86% (

0.06)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.46% (

-0.03)

32.54% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93% (

-0.03)

69.07% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 28.51%

Pisa 41%

Draw 30.49%

Sudtirol	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 28.51%	0-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.34% 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.49%	0-1 @ 15.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41%