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Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
3 - 3
Palermo

Estevez (51'), Mihaila (90+1'), Charpentier (90+5')
Balogh (35'), Del Prato (55'), Bonny (64'), Benedyczak (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brunori (3', 18'), Segre (85')
Di Francesco (16'), Valente (80'), Mateju (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Parma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Catanzaro
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawPalermo
44.8% (0.165 0.16)27.54% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)27.66% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.57% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.42% (0.11 0.11)58.58% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.85% (0.085000000000001 0.09)79.15% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.136 0.14)26.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (0.176 0.18)61.1% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)37.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.82% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Parma 44.8%
    Palermo 27.66%
    Draw 27.54%
ParmaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.8%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Parma
2-1
Palermo
Benedyczak (32'), Coulibaly (77')
Soleri (41')
Nov 5, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Palermo
1-0
Parma
Marconi (57')
Apr 2, 2018 7.30pm
Parma
3-2
Palermo
Calaio (31', 39' pen., 47')
Lucarelli (67'), Scavone (90')
Nestorovski (52'), Rajkovic (90')
Nestorovski (32'), Pomini (33'), Rispoli (35'), Coronado (64'), Gnahore (71')
Oct 8, 2017 2pm
Palermo
1-1
Parma
La Gumina (10')
Bellusci (33'), Embalo (39'), Murawski (45')
Gagliolo (71')
Gagliolo (21'), Scozzarella (59'), Barilla (82')
Apr 26, 2015 2pm
Parma
1-0
Palermo
Nocerino (22' pen.)
Costa (27'), Feddal (57'), Gobbi (76'), Lila (83')
> Match Report