Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
2 - 1
Modena

Verdi (42' pen.), Gabrielloni (87')
Da Cunha (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zaro (56')
Duca (51'), Bozhanaj (70'), Pio Riccio (83'), Strizzolo (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Como
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 2-1 Reggiana
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawModena
47.58% (0.097000000000001 0.1)25.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.47% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.27% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (0.097000000000001 0.1)53.38% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (0.082000000000001 0.08)74.92% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)22.44% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03% (0.126 0.13)55.97% (-0.126 -0.13)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)71.93% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Como 47.57%
    Modena 26.47%
    Draw 25.94%
ComoDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Como
1-0
Modena
Cerri (51')
Oct 15, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 9
Modena
5-1
Como
Pergreffi (11', 23'), Armellino (41'), Diaw (50'), Magnino (72')
Cutrone (84')