Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Reggiana
39.97% ( -0)	28.07% ( 0.01)	31.96% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.02% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.04% (

-0.03)

58.96% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.56% (

-0.02)

79.43% (

0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

-0.02)

28.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

-0.02)

64.69% (

0.02)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

-0.02)

33.93% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-0.02)

70.61% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Modena 39.96%

Reggiana 31.96%

Draw 28.07%

Modena	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.07%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.96%