Modena

2 - 1

Reggiana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.