Cremonese
Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
1 - 0
Lecco

Castagnetti (20')
Zanimacchia (25'), Antov (66'), Castagnetti (90+2'), Vazquez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bianconi (23'), Lemmens (85')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cremonese and Lecco.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecco 3-2 Parma
Sunday, November 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawLecco
61.45% (0.121 0.12)22.43% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)16.12% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.16% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)73% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.043999999999997 0.04)16.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (0.080999999999996 0.08)45.66% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Lecco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34% (-0.107 -0.11)44.65% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)80.66% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 61.44%
    Lecco 16.12%
    Draw 22.43%
CremoneseDrawLecco
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 7.28% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 61.44%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.43%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.12%