Serie B Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • Michele Castagnetti 20' goal
  • Luca Zanimacchia 25' yellowcard
  • Valentin Antov 66' yellowcard
  • Michele Castagnetti 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Franco Vazquez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bianconi 23'
  • yellowcard Mats Lemmens 85'

Cremonese vs Lecco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 3.15pm
Brescia 0 - 3 Cremonese
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Massimo Coda

Lecco

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 3.15pm
Lecco 3 - 2 Parma
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Nicolo Buso

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cremonese in this match.

Result

Cremonese 61.45% (+0.13)
Draw 22.43% (-0.04)
Lecco 16.12% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.39% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.84% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 51.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.99% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.64% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.35% (-0.01)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 83.81% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 16.18% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 54.34% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 45.66% (-0.09)

Lecco Goals

Over 0.5 55.34% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 44.65% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 19.34% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 80.66% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Cremonese 61.44%
Draw 22.43%
Lecco 16.12%
Cremonese
1-0 @ 13.16% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 11.98% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.28% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 61.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.43%
Lecco
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.28% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.12%